Uhlalutyo lweMfuno yeBatri yaMandla amatsha ngo-2024

Izithuthi zaMandla amatsha: Kulindeleke ukuba ukuthengiswa kwezithuthi zamandla amatsha kwihlabathi ngo-2024 kulindeleke ukuba kudlule i-17 yezigidi zeeyunithi, ukwanda okungaphezulu kwe-20% unyaka nonyaka. Phakathi kwabo, imarike yaseTshayina kulindeleke ukuba iqhubeke ithatha ngaphezu kwe-50% yesabelo sehlabathi, ukuthengisa kuya kudlula i-10.5 yezigidi zeeyunithi (ngaphandle kokuthumela ngaphandle). Ukuthelekisa, ukuthunyelwa kwamandla ehlabathi ngo-2024 kulindeleke ukuba kukhule ngaphezulu kwe-20%.

Ukugcinwa kwamandla: kulindeleke ukuba ngo-2024 i-photovoltaic entsha efakwe amandla e-508GW, ukukhula konyaka-ngonyaka we-22%. Ukuthathela ingqalelo imfuno yokugcina amandla ihambelana ngokufanelekileyo kunye ne-photovoltaic, ukuhanjiswa kunye nokugcinwa kwezinga kunye nokusabalalisa kunye nexesha lokugcinwa, ukuthunyelwa kokugcinwa kwamandla kwihlabathi ngo-2024 kulindeleke ukuba kuqonde ukukhula okungaphezulu kwe-40%.

Ibhetri yamandla amatsha afuna izinto eziguquguqukayo: uqoqosho kunye nokubonelela, ukuguquguquka kwempahla, ukutshintshwa kwexesha elide, imigaqo-nkqubo yaphesheya, utshintsho lwetekhnoloji entsha luya kuchaphazela imfuno yeebhetri zamandla amatsha.

Ukuthunyelwa kogcino lwamandla kwihlabathi jikelele kulindeleke ukuba kukhule ngaphezulu kwe-40% ngo-2024

Ngokutsho kwe-International Energy Agency (IEA), ufakelo olutsha lwe-PV lwehlabathi lufikelele kwi-420GW ngo-2023, ukuya kuma-85% unyaka nonyaka. Ufakelo olutsha lwePV yehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba lube yi-508GW ngo-2024, lunyuke nge-22% unyaka nonyaka. Ukucinga ukuba imfuno yokugcina amandla = i-PV * izinga lokusabalalisa * ixesha lokusabalalisa, imfuno yokugcina amandla kulindeleke ukuba ihambelane kakuhle nofakelo lwe-PV kwamanye amazwe okanye kwimimandla ngo-2024. Ngokutsho kwedatha ye-InfoLink, kwi-2023, ukugcinwa kwamandla kwihlabathi jikelele. ukuthunyelwa core yafikelela 196.7 GWh, apho isikali enkulu kunye nemizi-mveliso kunye nokugcinwa kwamandla ezorhwebo, ugcino lwendlu, ngokulandelelana, 168,5 GWh kunye 28.1 GWh, kwikota yesine wabonisa imeko ixesha lencopho, ukukhula ringgit kuphela 1.3%. Ngokutsho kwedatha ye-EVTank, ngo-2023,ibhetri yokugcina amandla ehlabathiUkuthunyelwa kufikelele kwi-224.2GWh, ukunyuka kwe-40.7% ngonyaka, apho i-203.8GWh yokuthunyelwa kwebhetri yokugcina amandla kwiinkampani zaseTshayina, ezibalelwa kwi-90.9% yokuthunyelwa kwebhetri yokugcina amandla ehlabathi. Kulindeleke ukuba ukuthunyelwa kogcino lwamandla kwihlabathi jikelele kufezekise ukukhula okungaphezulu kwe-40% ngo-2024.

Isiphelo:

Ngokubanzi, malungaibhetri entsha yamandlaImfuno yokuguquguquka kwezinto ngokubanzi, kukho imiba emihlanu: uphawu okanye imodeli yokubonelela ukudala imfuno, uqoqosho lokunyusa ukuzimisela ukufakela; ukunyusa ukuguquguquka kwempembelelo ye-bullwhip yoluhlu; ukungafani kwexesha, ishishini lifuna amaxesha onyaka angekho phezulu; umgaqo-nkqubo waphesheya lo ngumba ongalawulekiyo; impembelelo yemfuno yetekhnoloji entsha.


Ixesha lokuposa: May-06-2024